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Qual 612014 Central Illinois Regional
Red46
216427.1
465519.2
175655.4
Blue121
248141.8
96744.2
174747.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10612305015020025030046121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#5
55.44.5
52.1→47.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.8
1747
#6
47.70.0
42.3→42.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2164
#21
27.14.2
29.5→25.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.1
967
#11
44.20.0
39.4→39.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4655
#35
19.24.2
26.7→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 22.7
2481
#10
41.80.0
38.7→38.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—