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Qual 662014 Central Illinois Regional
Red142
270427.1
198675.6
16746.0
Blue102
335224.7
245141.1
109125.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15670050100200250300350400142102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#3
75.60.0
79.3→79.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 34.5
2451
#13
41.11.2
37.3→38.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
167
#9
46.00.0
40.2→40.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.6
1091
#26
25.31.2
23.8→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2704
#12
27.10.0
22.9→22.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.3
3352
#23
24.71.2
22.3→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—