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Red195
173649.2
245141.1
175655.4
Blue100
176426.5
421234.0
421327.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14369050100200250300350195100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.44.2
47.651.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
4212
#18
34.01.2
33.935.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.24.2
45.249.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
4213
#33
27.11.2
20.021.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2451
#13
41.13.9
38.542.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
1764
#22
26.51.2
26.828.0
Auto
Teleop
End