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Red110
216427.1
425646.8
173649.2
Blue57
109125.3
96744.2
419620.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868420406010012014016011057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.22.1
28.330.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
967
#11
44.22.4
43.441.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4256
#14
46.82.1
35.137.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.4
1091
#26
25.32.4
20.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2164
#21
27.12.1
21.023.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
4196
#24
20.82.4
21.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End