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Red101
101440.0
326641.3
14451.7
Blue120
469035.6
29116.1
82952.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10289050150200250300101120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#14
51.70.1
28.628.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
829
#22
52.52.4
45.748.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3266
#21
41.30.1
44.844.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
4690
#19
35.62.4
23.325.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1014
#28
40.00.1
26.226.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.9
291
#34
16.12.4
22.024.4
Auto
Teleop
End