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Red123
12827.2
46152.8
82952.5
Blue147
448529.3
225248.2
407025.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163670100200300400123147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#7
52.82.0
51.149.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
48.25.4
53.759.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
829
#22
52.52.0
57.955.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
4485
#33
29.35.4
15.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
128
#30
27.22.0
38.436.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4070
#17
25.75.4
12.618.0
Auto
Teleop
End