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Red110
13556.6
426940.5
236015.0
Blue140
355916.2
219716.4
23455.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8981050150200250110140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#5
56.61.8
49.150.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
234
#16
55.74.8
57.061.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4269
#13
40.51.8
26.328.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.1
2197
#38
16.44.8
19.524.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2360
#42
15.01.8
12.814.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3559
#31
16.24.8
6.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End