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Red111
101440.0
301029.7
518836.6
Blue105
430633.1
4848.7
452118.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60830100150200250300111105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#28
40.03.9
24.528.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
48
#26
48.72.2
39.942.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5188
#18
36.612.0
29.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
4306
#23
33.12.2
12.114.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3010
#29
29.73.9
25.529.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
4521
#45
18.92.2
27.229.4
Auto
Teleop
End