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Red115
101826.3
103839.8
349466.1
Blue103
452118.9
469035.6
39599.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110540150200250300115103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.11.2
52.153.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.5
4690
#19
35.63.4
30.233.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1038
#27
39.81.2
22.723.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
4521
#45
18.93.4
19.823.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
#24
26.31.2
26.327.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
3959
#41
9.73.4
12.415.7
Auto
Teleop
End