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Red140
86865.1
430633.1
410334.3
Blue247
448529.3
314765.0
233844.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15297050200250300350140247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#20
65.10.2
58.758.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3147
#12
65.011.0
52.663.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4103
#25
34.30.2
43.443.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
2338
#11
44.411.0
31.942.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4306
#23
33.10.2
41.140.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4485
#33
29.311.0
21.132.1
Auto
Teleop
End