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Red181
7151.4
14451.7
428314.1
Blue73
225248.2
427217.3
410334.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766905010015018173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#14
51.78.8
18.227.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
48.20.3
35.936.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71
#6
51.48.8
40.449.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
4103
#25
34.30.3
18.018.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4283
#36
14.18.8
16.325.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
4272
#32
17.30.3
16.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End