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Red67
217120.5
430633.1
355916.2
Blue131
235846.2
110861.8
492615.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63120010015020025030067131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4306
#23
33.10.3
35.835.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.7
61.81.3
59.460.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2171
#44
20.50.3
22.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.7
2358
#35
46.21.3
43.644.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3559
#31
16.20.3
13.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
4926
#37
15.31.3
8.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End