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Red110
301029.7
14451.7
349466.1
Blue124
101826.3
314765.0
101440.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156115050200250300350400110124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.12.6
62.860.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3147
#12
65.00.2
58.558.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
144
#14
51.72.6
52.950.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
1014
#28
40.00.2
36.636.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3010
#29
29.72.6
34.131.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1018
#24
26.30.2
26.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End