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Red179
314765.0
452118.9
44753.1
Blue140
219929.0
110861.8
101440.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812850100150200179140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3147
#12
65.03.1
58.761.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
61.80.7
60.761.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
447
#10
53.13.1
51.554.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
1014
#28
40.00.7
36.737.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4521
#45
18.93.1
17.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
2199
#43
29.00.7
30.431.2
Auto
Teleop
End