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Qual 862014 Crossroads Regional
Red213
82952.5
23455.7
314765.0
Blue111
235846.2
394020.3
46152.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173114050150200250300350213111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3147
#12
65.02.7
61.9→64.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.2
461
#7
52.80.7
54.0→53.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
234
#16
55.72.7
52.6→55.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.5
2358
#35
46.20.7
48.3→47.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
829
#22
52.52.7
49.7→52.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 32.1
3940
#40
20.30.7
21.2→20.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—