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Red143
4848.7
236015.0
101440.0
Blue171
492615.3
7151.4
103839.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9993050150200143171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#26
48.72.5
48.050.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
71
#6
51.44.3
47.551.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1014
#28
40.02.5
37.540.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1038
#27
39.84.3
35.639.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2360
#42
15.02.5
12.615.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4926
#37
15.34.3
11.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End