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Red80
233844.4
400816.6
29116.1
Blue22
448529.3
452118.9
426940.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68880501502002503003508022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#11
44.40.7
29.129.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
4269
#13
40.55.2
38.533.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4008
#39
16.60.7
21.021.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
4485
#33
29.35.2
17.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
291
#34
16.10.7
21.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
4521
#45
18.95.2
29.424.1
Auto
Teleop
End