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Red130
175683.8
492721.9
454519.4
Blue71
295969.4
164621.6
172033.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611105015020025013071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.82.7
55.458.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
2959
#18
69.41.7
63.261.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4927
#29
21.93.9
21.918.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
1720
#24
33.82.9
19.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4545
#33
19.44.0
12.216.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1646
#36
21.62.9
22.819.9
Auto
Teleop
End