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Red73
86870.9
176031.7
317610.3
Blue107
421127.7
448545.9
132954.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218505015020025030035073107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#9
70.92.1
69.367.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
54.20.8
42.743.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1760
#16
31.73.5
27.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
4485
#15
45.90.8
33.434.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3176
#35
10.33.5
18.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
4211
#14
27.71.4
14.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End