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Red135
484614.6
176031.7
394750.8
Blue67
15293.4
314775.5
164621.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51117015020025030035013567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#12
50.86.1
29.035.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.7
75.52.0
75.473.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1760
#16
31.76.1
23.729.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
1646
#36
21.63.3
22.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4846
#37
14.66.1
8.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1529
#40
3.43.3
8.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End