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Red5
330135.8
15293.4
427229.7
Blue195
132954.2
29247.9
176031.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710001502002505195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3301
#26
35.84.2
21.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
54.26.3
39.746.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4272
#25
29.72.5
17.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.2
292
#22
47.95.2
33.839.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#40
3.44.2
16.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.4
1760
#16
31.78.6
18.226.8
Auto
Teleop
End