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Red65
330135.8
317610.3
479112.5
Blue95
15293.4
46167.9
484614.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399101502002503006595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3301
#26
35.81.5
27.128.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.1
461
#2
67.90.6
67.568.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4791
#38
12.51.5
5.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
4846
#37
14.61.0
11.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3176
#35
10.31.5
14.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1529
#40
3.41.0
3.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End