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Red107
501033.7
33746.6
421344.8
Blue106
492721.9
330135.8
101829.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126590100150200250300350107106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#1
46.60.7
36.535.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
3301
#26
35.82.8
28.131.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.80.4
38.838.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
1018
#20
29.11.8
25.227.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5010
#21
33.70.7
40.639.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
4927
#29
21.92.8
16.219.1
Auto
Teleop
End