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Red121
330135.8
394750.8
172033.8
Blue32
38659.1
448545.9
286712.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11939010015020025012132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#12
50.81.0
45.045.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4485
#15
45.91.0
39.538.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3301
#26
35.81.0
28.329.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
2867
#31
12.41.3
9.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1720
#24
33.81.0
33.034.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.7
3865
#32
9.11.3
2.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End