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Red36
15293.4
501033.7
176031.7
Blue53
421127.7
42346.1
174140.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787840506070901003653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#21
33.72.6
37.735.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
1741
#19
40.11.6
41.840.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1760
#16
31.72.6
37.134.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4211
#14
27.71.5
28.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#40
3.42.6
3.30.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
4234
#30
6.11.5
7.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End