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Red173
318023.6
33746.6
492721.9
Blue122
479112.5
448545.9
482418.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7766050100150200173122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#1
46.65.4
40.445.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
4485
#15
45.92.7
42.545.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3180
#39
23.65.4
18.223.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4824
#34
18.83.0
15.718.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4927
#29
21.95.4
16.521.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
4791
#38
12.53.0
9.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End