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Red156
427229.7
421344.8
13559.3
Blue81
454519.4
174140.1
82956.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411505015020025030015681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#7
59.33.0
55.758.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
829
#11
56.71.5
50.949.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.83.0
26.329.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1741
#19
40.12.6
44.742.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4272
#25
29.73.0
14.817.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
4545
#33
19.42.6
16.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End