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Red321
171878.5
245181.1
2763.9
Blue207
217564.1
36885.4
23356.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322010100300400321207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
Unranked
81.11.6
82.484.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
368
Unranked
85.40.0
85.485.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1718
Unranked
78.51.6
79.981.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
2175
Unranked
64.10.0
64.164.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
27
Unranked
63.91.6
65.266.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
233
Unranked
56.10.0
56.156.1
Auto
Teleop
End