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Red192
11887.8
1687.2
6762.3
Blue276
5158.7
448877.5
49457.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258187100300400500192276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
87.80.9
91.190.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
4488
Unranked
77.51.3
78.880.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16
Unranked
87.20.9
90.489.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
51
Unranked
58.71.3
60.061.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
67
Unranked
62.30.9
65.664.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
494
Unranked
57.71.3
59.060.3
Auto
Teleop
End