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Red156
309844.4
11887.8
181759.1
Blue163
292850.4
3379.5
5158.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1982060100300400156163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
87.82.2
85.583.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
33
Unranked
79.52.1
86.284.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1817
Unranked
59.12.2
64.061.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
51
Unranked
58.72.1
56.954.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3098
Unranked
44.42.2
49.947.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
2928
Unranked
50.42.1
62.059.9
Auto
Teleop
End