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Red128
44758.0
23471.5
261450.7
Blue108
174148.1
17964.8
131056.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198157050100250300350400128108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
Unranked
71.53.2
72.369.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
179
Unranked
64.82.8
61.058.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
447
Unranked
58.03.2
62.459.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1310
Unranked
56.42.8
53.250.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2614
Unranked
50.73.2
57.153.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1741
Unranked
48.12.8
49.546.7
Auto
Teleop
End