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Red205
347841.4
292850.4
171878.5
Blue123
248162.9
34042.3
10741.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1701650100200300400500205123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
Unranked
78.51.8
65.166.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
2481
Unranked
62.92.2
60.458.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2928
Unranked
50.41.8
59.961.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
340
Unranked
42.32.2
51.949.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3478
Unranked
41.41.8
44.145.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
107
Unranked
41.82.2
53.751.6
Auto
Teleop
End