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Red231
86868.8
23471.5
171878.5
Blue176
161970.0
14867.2
5158.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2061960100300400231176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
Unranked
78.51.3
66.968.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
1619
Unranked
70.01.1
70.269.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
Unranked
71.51.3
69.170.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
148
Unranked
67.21.1
71.670.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
868
Unranked
68.81.3
68.670.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
51
Unranked
58.71.1
56.054.9
Auto
Teleop
End