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Red148
12564.5
131056.4
347841.4
Blue156
50343.1
111486.1
309844.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1591840100300400500600148156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
64.50.7
66.665.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
1114
Unranked
86.11.2
92.491.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1310
Unranked
56.40.7
50.449.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
3098
Unranked
44.41.2
46.845.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3478
Unranked
41.40.7
45.945.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
503
Unranked
43.11.2
41.240.0
Auto
Teleop
End