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Red200
28678.8
23471.5
46164.2
Blue166
102357.9
147761.1
292850.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471720100200300400500600200166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
Unranked
71.52.5
70.773.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1477
Unranked
61.10.1
56.256.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
461
Unranked
64.22.5
65.868.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1023
Unranked
57.90.1
52.152.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2867
Unranked
8.82.5
14.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.6
2928
Unranked
50.40.1
59.759.6
Auto
Teleop
End