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Red251
50343.1
3379.5
173060.9
Blue137
161970.0
2763.9
403968.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1672210100300400500251137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
79.53.8
77.180.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1619
Unranked
70.03.8
71.667.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1730
Unranked
60.93.8
59.062.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
4039
Unranked
68.63.8
70.066.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
503
Unranked
43.13.8
38.742.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.8
27
Unranked
63.93.8
71.567.7
Auto
Teleop
End