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Red210
448877.5
124163.2
174148.1
Blue133
173243.1
6762.3
180651.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198171050100150250300350400210133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
Unranked
77.50.8
74.975.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
67
Unranked
62.32.1
68.566.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1241
Unranked
63.20.8
68.769.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
1806
Unranked
51.02.1
60.758.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1741
Unranked
48.10.8
50.251.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1732
Unranked
43.12.1
45.743.6
Auto
Teleop
End