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Red266
46996.4
201365.3
14867.2
Blue128
309844.4
180651.0
46164.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2271620100200300400500266128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
96.42.5
89.892.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.2
461
Unranked
64.22.2
68.366.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
Unranked
67.22.5
67.569.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
1806
Unranked
51.02.2
58.656.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2013
Unranked
65.32.5
59.461.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
3098
Unranked
44.42.2
44.842.6
Auto
Teleop
End