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Red285
11887.8
23356.1
35990.5
Blue92
1147.6
46164.2
261450.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246162010020030040050060028592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
Unranked
90.52.6
89.992.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
461
Unranked
64.24.1
66.162.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
118
Unranked
87.82.6
89.592.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.1
2614
Unranked
50.74.1
55.151.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
233
Unranked
56.12.6
53.456.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
11
Unranked
47.64.1
53.449.2
Auto
Teleop
End