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Red176
102357.9
4552.4
17964.8
Blue152
173243.1
86868.8
57360.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170165100150200250300176152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
Unranked
64.80.4
61.762.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
868
Unranked
68.80.7
64.764.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
Unranked
57.90.4
57.157.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
573
Unranked
60.20.7
57.456.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
45
Unranked
52.40.4
50.150.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1732
Unranked
43.10.7
43.943.2
Auto
Teleop
End