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Red223
22563.2
174148.1
1687.2
Blue205
46164.2
173060.9
7459.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202177050100150250300350223205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
87.21.3
89.290.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.0
461
Unranked
64.21.2
63.064.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
225
Unranked
63.21.3
62.063.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1730
Unranked
60.91.2
59.760.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1741
Unranked
48.11.3
46.848.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
74
Unranked
59.41.2
58.259.4
Auto
Teleop
End