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Red155
147761.1
2065.0
108635.6
Blue251
57360.2
3379.5
181759.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1582000100300400500155251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
65.00.5
65.465.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
33
Unranked
79.52.9
79.982.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1477
Unranked
61.10.5
62.662.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
573
Unranked
60.22.9
57.360.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1086
Unranked
35.60.5
36.035.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.5
1817
Unranked
59.12.9
56.259.1
Auto
Teleop
End