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Red216
12564.5
248162.9
23356.1
Blue112
28678.8
44758.0
164064.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1891270100300400216112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
Unranked
64.51.8
62.764.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1640
Unranked
64.31.2
65.664.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2481
Unranked
62.91.8
62.964.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
447
Unranked
58.01.2
60.759.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
233
Unranked
56.11.8
54.356.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 47.3
2867
Unranked
8.81.2
10.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End