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Red121
195219.5
303418.3
306522.7
Blue96
194316.0
194215.9
478418.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5135010015012196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#46
22.76.0
16.222.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
4784
#49
18.24.8
8.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1952
#19
19.56.0
19.725.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1943
#50
16.04.8
10.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3034
#24
18.36.0
12.919.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1942
#33
15.94.8
19.724.5
Auto
Teleop
End