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Red8
221622.1
470814.5
466114.5
Blue51
194416.0
307513.5
331643.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5047020406080100120851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2216
#32
22.13.4
13.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
43.00.3
25.826.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4708
#26
14.53.4
19.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1944
#30
16.00.3
9.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4661
#29
14.53.4
16.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3075
#28
13.50.3
12.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End