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Red61
194215.9
527316.2
223124.6
Blue15
308317.4
338818.7
15807.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454302060801006115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.3
21.322.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
3388
#23
18.72.4
24.221.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5273
#41
16.21.3
3.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3083
#39
17.42.4
8.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1942
#33
15.91.3
20.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1580
#52
7.52.4
11.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End