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Red55
479411.9
306522.7
321135.6
Blue111
221217.2
331643.0
464918.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7454010015020055111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.3
26.224.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
43.04.5
26.230.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3065
#46
22.71.3
24.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
18.34.5
18.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4794
#44
11.91.3
20.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
2212
#17
17.24.5
13.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End