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Red100
458626.3
307513.5
306522.7
Blue126
432038.7
338818.7
194416.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5855204080100120100126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#10
26.33.6
26.129.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
4320
#16
38.75.9
27.333.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3065
#46
22.73.6
23.026.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
3388
#23
18.75.9
18.624.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3075
#28
13.53.6
8.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1944
#30
16.05.5
9.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End