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Red26
221622.1
479411.9
15807.5
Blue62
221320.1
303418.3
30874.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801001201401602662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2216
#32
22.11.4
21.219.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2213
#45
20.11.7
18.820.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4794
#44
11.91.4
13.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
3034
#24
18.31.7
16.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1580
#52
7.51.4
10.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3087
#53
4.41.7
2.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End