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Red166
527316.2
223015.4
432038.7
Blue56
267925.3
474419.0
478418.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4470010015020016656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#16
38.78.5
31.439.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
25.30.7
24.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5273
#41
16.28.5
6.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
4744
#12
19.00.7
20.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2230
#31
15.48.5
10.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
4784
#49
18.20.7
19.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End